5A State Track meet projections (FINAL PROJECTIONS COMPLETE)

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Format:
Athlete - School - Performances in event in order chronologically

100 meter dash

1. Orlando Robinson – Crossett (10.70) (10.80) (10.92) (10.71) (10.67)
SE champ. Has not run above 11 seconds all year. One of the best sprinters, if not the best, in the state.

2. Anthony Blakely – Mills Univ.Stud. (11.07) (10.78) (10.98) (11.00) (10.95) (10.93) (10.74) SE runner up. Has run sub 11 five times. Will be wanting to beat Robinson their senior year.

3. Derek Keaton – Camden Fairview (11.10) (11.18) (11.20) (11.06) (11.10) (10.93)
SW champ. Ran 11.10 or less four times.

4. Darius Fletcher – Camden Fairview  (11.00) (11.17) (11.01) (11.05) (10.97)
SW runner up. Actually ran better than Keaton all year, but lost at conference. Almost too close to call between the two teammates

5. Ryan Green – Forrest City (11.30) (11.35) (11.10) (10.93)
East champ. Seems to have figured out the 100 meter dash at conference, but had tailwind

6. Joewaan Mitchell – Forrest City (11.18) (11.32) (11.17) (10.99)
East runner up. Ran better than Green most of the year, but lost at conference. Almost too close to call, again.

7. James Sax – Vilonia (11.17) (11.34) (11.40) (11.56) (11.22) (11.21) (11.36) (11.11) (11.09)
West champ. Has to run more events than any of these guys. Ran great at conference.

8. Tanner Dvorak – Lakeside, HS (11.31) (11.37) (11.39) (11.20) (11.03) (11.16)
SW 3rd place. Seems to have figured out how to run the event by the end of the year.

Points after 1 of 17 events projected:
Camden Fairview – 11
Crossett – 10
Mills Univ.Stud. – 8
Forrest City – 7
Vilonia – 2
Lakeside, HS – 1

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Discus Throw

1. Mark Guffin – LR Christian (128' 3") (152' 0.5") (146' 0") (148' 7") (154' 10.5")
SW champ. Consistent, has thrown over 150 twice, and over 145 four times.

2. Demetris Ford – Magnolia (136' 7") (153' 2") (143' 6") (130' 5") (126' 11") (132' 1.5")
SW  3rd place. Has been a little inconsistent lately, but has thrown over 150 once and over 135 three times

3. Stephen McMurray – Alma (128' 11") (123' 9") (131' 10") (132' 0") (128' 3") (142' 6") (134' 2")
West champ. It starts getting close to call at this point. Has thrown over 140 once and has been over 130 four times

4.  McKenzie James – Camden Fairview (132' 4.5") (129' 1") (136' 10") (128' 10") (131' 0") (132' 11.25")
SW runner up. Has thrown over 130 four times.

5. Jaquarious Parker – Magnolia (141' 10") (135' 6") (97' 10") (135' 4") (129' 2") (127' 7.5")
SW fourth place finisher. Has thrown over 140 once and been a little inconsistent lately.

6. Jared Gowen – Beebe (115' 0") (130' 1") (114' 11") (125' 2") (135' 11") (116' 11") (133' 2") (134' 9")
East champ. Has thrown over 130 three times.

7. Ryan Alexander – Greenbrier (108' 11") (138' 5") (115' 4") (132' 2") (129' 2")
West runner up. Has thrown over 130 twice.

8. Karrie Barden – Forrest City (127' 8") (122' 2") (130' 4")
East runner up. Has thrown 130 once.

Points after 2 of 17 events projected:
Camden Fairview – 16
Magnolia – 12
Crossett – 10
LR Christian – 10
Mills Univ.Stud. – 8
Forrest City – 8
Alma – 6
Beebe – 3
Vilonia – 2
Greenbrier – 2
Lakeside, HS – 1

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200 meter dash


1. Orlando Robinson – Crossett (22.51) (21.52) (21.60) (21.82) (21.41) (21.86) (21.79)
SE champ. Ran under 22 six times.

2. Anthony Blakely – Mills Univ.Stud. (23.04) (22.65) (21.87) (22.20) (22.68) (22.46) (22.23) (22.10) (22.09)
SE runner up. Ran sub 22.5 six times.

3. Derek Keaton – Camden Fairview (22.90) (23.18) (22.54) (22.38) (21.93)
SW champ. Ran sub 22.5 twice and sub 22 once. Have him above Sax because he will have less events

4. James Sax – Vilonia (23.20) (22.34) (22.26) (22.61) (22.67) (22.52) (22.21) (21.95)
West champ. Ran sub 22.5 four times. This will be his last event.

5. Tanner Dvorak – Lakeside, HS (23.18) (22.91) (22.81) (23.20) (23.24) (22.61) (22.15) (22.32)
SW runner up. Ran sub 22.5 twice and sube 22.75 three times.

6. Joewaan Mitchell – Forrest City (23.11) (22.79) (23.38) (22.44) (21.97)
East champ. Ran sub 22 with a big tailwind.

7. Ryan Green – Forrest City (23.51) (22.26) (22.36)
East runner up. Ran sub 22.5 twice with a big tailwind

8. Ethan Brewer – Alma (22.95) (23.12) (22.66) (22.76) (22.77) (22.61) (23.49) (22.55)
West 3rd place finisher. Ran sub 23 six times. Sub 22.75 three times

Points after 3 of 17 events projected:
Camden Fairview – 22
Crossett – 20
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Forrest City – 13
Magnolia – 12
LR Christian – 10
Vilonia – 7
Alma – 7
Lakeside, HS – 5
Beebe – 3
Greenbrier – 2

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Shot Put

1. Mark Guffin – LR Christian (47' 4.5") (47' 6") (49' 8") (52' 5") (52' 9.25") (52' 1")
SW champ. Has thrown over 52 three times.

2. Demetris Ford – Magnolia (50' 4") (50' 10") (51' 1.5") (48' 2.25") (51' 1") (50' 1")
SW runner up. Has thrown over 50 five times and over 51 twice.

3. Daldric Harris – Magnolia (44' 10.5") (48' 8") (48' 2") (45' 9.5") (46' 4.5") (46' 8")
SW fourth place finisher. Has thrown over 48 twice.

4. Jake Wiedmaier – Vilonia (45' 6.75") (47' 1.5") (45' 3") (45' 8.25") (45' 8.5") (44' 6.5") (46' 8.5") (45' 5") (49' 0.5")
West champ. Has thrown over 48 once and over 47 twice.

5. Luis Guieterrez – Siloam Springs (43' 10") (44' 1.5") (45' 6.25") (47' 1.5") (48' 3")
West runner up. Has thrown over 47 twice. Is throwing a PR every meet.

6. Brody Doss – Magnolia (44' 11") (43' 0") (47' 3")
SW third place finisher. Had a great throw at conference. We'll see if he can do it again

7. Montrell Mathis – Forrest City (44' 9") (45' 4.5") (46' 3")
East champ. Has thrown over 45 twice.

8. Ryan Alexander – Greenbrier (40' 9.5") (43' 6.5") (41' 2") (46' 5")
West 3rd place finisher. It was hard for me to put him above the Crossett kid, but he has a PR 2 feet higher than the Crossett kid.

Points after 4 of 17 events projected:
Magnolia – 29
Camden Fairview – 22
Crossett – 20
LR Christian – 20
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Forrest City – 15
Vilonia – 12
Alma – 7
Lakeside, HS – 5
Siloam Springs – 4
Beebe – 3
Greenbrier – 3

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400 meter dash

1. Alex Ebmeyer – Vilonia (49.49) (49.07) (48.59)
West champ. I'm going to assume he runs this for now. He may not. I also don't know if he will run at 100 percent or say 90 percent. He has run under 50 three times

2. Seth Thompson – Greenbrier (52.40) (51.36) (51.51) (49.86) (49.73)
West runner up. Has run under 50 twice.

3. Orlando Robinson – Crossett (50.38) (49.84)
SE Champ. Has run under 50 once and is one of the most talented runners in the field.

4. Sharbrodric Young – Magnolia (50.30) (51.31) (1:01.28) (49.92)
SW champ. Has run under 50 once.

5. Ethan Brewer – Alma (50.36) (50.53) (50.28) (49.94) (50.16)
West 3rd place finisher. Has run under 51 5 times and under 50 once.

6. Torren Payton – Hot Springs (52.14) (51.62) (51.69) (52.28) (51.75) (51.62) (51.20)
SW runner up. Has run under 52 five times.

7. Josh Balentine – Watson Chapel (53.08) (51.23) (51.51) (51.55)
SE runner up. Has run under 52 three times.

8. Alex Elam – Alma (50.84) (51.60) (52.03)
West 4th place finisher. Has runder under 52 twice.

Points after 5 of 17 events projected:
Magnolia – 34
Crossett – 26
Camden Fairview – 22
Vilonia – 22
LR Christian – 20
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Forrest City – 15
Alma – 12
Greenbrier – 11
Lakeside, HS – 5
Siloam Springs – 4
Beebe – 3
Hot Springs – 3
Watson Chapel – 2

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Triple Jump

1. Dominique Reed – Camden Fairview (44' 7") (46' 6.5") (45' 1") (44' 7") (47' 0")
SW Champ. Has jumped over 45 feet three times.

2. Deroderick Henderson – Magnolia (45' 6.5") (43' 7") (42' 0") (43' 0.75") (41' 1.5") (44' 8")
SW runner up. Has jumped over 44 feet twice.

3. Ryan Green – Forrest City (43' 4") (44' 2.75")
East champ. Has jumped over 43 feet both times he's jumped and over 44 once

4. Dayton Scott – Beebe (42' 0.5") (41' 11") (42' 9") (40' 3") (43' 3.5") (44' 1.75")
East runner up. Has jumped over 43 feet the last two times he has jumped.

5. Damian Blossom – Siloam Springs (42' 10.5")  (42' 3") (41' 3")  (45' 1")  (43' 6")
West champ. Has jumped over 45 feet once. Could finish higher than this.

6. Tanner Dvorak – Lakeside, HS (40' 0.75") (42' 10") (39' 11") (43' 7.75") (42' 4.75") (43' 7") (42' 11")
SW fifth place finisher. Has been jumping great his last 4 times. Consistently around 43 feet.

7. Seth Peters – Greenbrier (41' 6") (43' 4") (42' 6") (43' 3")
West runner up. Has jumped over 43 feet twice.

8. Josh Selvy – Wynne (43' 2.75") (43' 4") (42' 10")
East fourth place finisher. Has jumped over 43 twice.

Points after 6 of 17 events projected:
Magnolia – 42
Camden Fairview – 32
Crossett – 26
Vilonia – 22
Forrest City – 21
LR Christian – 20
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Greenbrier – 13
Alma – 12
Beebe – 8
Siloam Springs – 8
Lakeside, HS – 8
Hot Springs – 3
Watson Chapel – 2
Wynne – 1

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800 meter run

1. Alex Ebmeyer – Vilonia (2:03.87) (1:56.89) (1:58.74) (1:54.92) (1:57.70) (2:04.57) (1:54.97)
Didn't run at conference, but by far the best 800 runner in the 5A and the best in the state. If he runs the 400, can he win the 800? We shall see...I think he can get close.

2. Corbin Greening – Siloam Springs (2:04.56) (2:02.41) (2:06.51) (2:04.31) (2:07.21) (2:00.91)
West champ. I have him ahead of Maples, because he isn't running the mile.

3. KJ Maples – Beebe (2:04.66) (1:58.83) (2:00.91)
Didn't run at conference. He hasn't ran the 1600/800 double this year. If he runs the 1600 at state, I think he can still finish top 3.

4. Austin Dupio – Beebe (2:07.96) (2:06.05) (2:04.88) (2:00.99) (2:04.43)
East champ. Ran the 1600 at conference, but I don't know if he will at state.

5. Andrew Maness – Alma (2:05.99) (2:04.11) (2:03.76) (2:03.23) (2:02.38)
West runner up. Isn't running anything but the 4 x 8 and this event. Has improved each time out

6. Trevor Martin – Vilonia (2:05.04) (2:03.52) (2:06.18) (2:08.78) (2:02.28) (2:06.61)
West 4th place finisher. Could easily finish higher than this. Just been a little inconsistent.

7. Vann Berry – LR Christian (2:08.13) (2:08.40) (2:04.19) (2:02.85) (2:06.10) (2:03.93)
SW champ. Best overall distance runner in the state. Has proven he can run a fast 1600/800 double, so I should probably put him higher.

8. Brian Valley – Vilonia (2:10.40) (2:11.33) (2:07.10) (2:07.02) (2:05.81) (2:09.47) (2:05.46)
West 3rd place finisher. Could finish higher than this, but may have to run a PR to do it.

Points after 7 of 17 events projected:
Magnolia – 42
Vilonia – 36
Camden Fairview – 32
Crossett – 26
LR Christian – 22
Forrest City – 21
Beebe – 19
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Siloam Springs – 16
Alma – 16
Greenbrier – 13
Lakeside, HS – 8
Hot Springs – 3
Watson Chapel – 2
Wynne – 1

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Long Jump

1. Dominique Reed – Camden Fairview (21' 9.5") (22' 0") (23' 8")
SW champ. Has jumped over 21, 22, and 23 feet in order.

2. Tanner Dvorak – Lakeside, HS (20' 2.25") (20' 2.75") (19' 3") (21' 6") (21' 3.5") (20' 2.75") (22' 1.5")
SW runner up. Has jumped over 21 feet three times.

3. James Sax – Vilonia (20' 8.75") (19' 5.5") (19' 6") (19' 5") (20' 4.5") (20' 11") (21' 10")
West champ. Has jumped over 21 feet once.

4. Rayhem Dudley – Morrilton (19' 1.75") (21' 0") (21' 7.5")
West runner up. Has jumped over 21 feet twice.

5. Derek Keaton – Camden Fairview (19' 8.5") (20' 2") (21' 4") (20' 3.75")
SW fourth place finisher. Has jumped over 21 feet once.

6. Orlando Robinson – Crossett (21' 2.5")
Southeast champ. Could probably get 2nd in this thing, but hasn't done it once this year.

7. Josh Selvy – Wynne (21' 8") (21' 1.5") (20' 9")
East third place finisher. Has jumped over 21 feet twice.

8. Damian Blossom – Siloam Springs (18' 7.5") (19' 3.25") (19' 4") (21' 6")
West third place finisher. Didn't jump well until conference, but has talent to finish top 8

Points after 8 of 17 events projected:
Camden Fairview – 46
Magnolia – 42
Vilonia – 42
Crossett – 29
LR Christian – 22
Forrest City – 21
Beebe – 19
Siloam Springs – 17
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Alma – 16
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 13
Morrilton – 5
Hot Springs – 3
Wynne – 3
Watson Chapel – 2

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1600 meter run

1. Vann Berry – LR Christian (4:36.66) (4:35.81) (4:39.11) (4:37.36) (4:35.58) (4:37.45)
SW champ. Has ran under 4:40 six times.

2. KJ Mapels – Beebe (4:41.89) (4:37.85)
East champ. Has only ran it twice, but great times both times.

3. Jon Freeman – Greene County Tech (4:48.75) (4:40.91) (4:41.46) (4:40.86)
East runner up. Has ran under 4:45 three times. Around 4:40 consistently.

4. Danny Moss – Greene County Tech (4:49.18) (4:41.14) (4:43.70)
East 3rd place finisher. Has ran under 4:45 twice.

5. Austin DeWitt – LR Christian (4:45.57) (4:52.49) (4:38.87) (4:45.75)
SW runner up. Has the talent to finish higher, but has been somewhat inconsistent.

6. Ben Fiser – LR Christian (4:52.03) (4:44.83) (4:53.41) (4:47.41)
SW third place finisher. The 3200 is Fiser's race, but he is talented enough to finish this high

7. Tyler Eddings – Hot Springs (5:05.91) (5:00.00) (4:54.50) (4:52.91) (4:49.28) (4:48.33)
SW 4th place finisher. Has improved every single time in this event. Will he do it at state?

8. Austin Dupio – Beebe (4:55.60) (4:46.37)
West 4th place finisher. I would rank him higher, but I'm not even sure he'll run this event.

Points after 9 of 17 events projected:
Camden Fairview – 46
Magnolia – 42
Vilonia – 42
LR Christian – 39
Crossett – 29
Beebe – 28
Forrest City – 21
Siloam Springs – 17
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Alma – 16
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 13
Greene County Tech – 11
Morrilton – 5
Hot Springs – 5
Wynne – 3
Watson Chapel – 2

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Pole Vault

1. Trey Wyatt – Vilonia (15' 4") (15' 6") (15' 0") (15' 0") (14' 6") (15' 3") (16' 0.75")
Didn't vault at conference. Over 15 feet six times and over 16 feet once. Big favorite

2. Kyle Wyatt – Vilonia (14' 4") (15' 2") (15' 0") (13' 6") (14' 6") (15' 3") (15' 6")
West champ. Over 15 feet four times. Probably the only one who could beat his brother.

3. Thomas Walton – Batesville (12' 0") (14' 0") (13' 0") (13' 3") (14' 0") (13' 9") (13' 0") (13' 2")
East champ. Over 14 feet twice and over 13 feet seven times.

4. Tim Kimes – Alma (12' 0") (11' 6") (12' 6") (12' 6") (12' 6") (12' 6") (14' 0")
West runner up. This is the one time when I feel like a homer in these projections. Steward and Lawrence have been over 13 feet more, but Kimes has the better PR and should have been over 13 MANY more times.

5. Jake Steward – Vilonia (12' 6") (12' 6") (13' 0") (12' 6") (13' 3") (13' 0")
West 3rd place finisher. Over 13 feet three times.

6. Dylan Lawrence – Magnolia (10' 0") (12' 0") (11' 0") (13' 3") (11' 6") (13' 0")
SW champ. Over 13 feet twice.

7. Josh Stidman – Greene County Tech (12' 0") (12' 6") (12' 10")
East runner up. Over 12' 6" twice.

8. Jordan Huffstickler – Beebe (10' 0") (11' 0") (12' 0") (12' 0") (12' 6")
East 3rd place finisher. Over 12 feet three times.

Points after 10 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 64
Camden Fairview – 46
Magnolia – 45
LR Christian – 39
Crossett – 29
Beebe – 29
Forrest City – 21
Alma – 21
Siloam Springs – 17
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 13
Greene County Tech – 13
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
Hot Springs – 5
Wynne – 3
Watson Chapel – 2

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3200 meter run

1. Ben Fiser – LR Christian (10:18.06) (10:25.45) (10:20.33) (10:25.28)
SW champ. Has ran under 10:30 four times. Under 10:20 once

2. Vann Berry – LR Christian (10:22.49) (10:29.02)
SW runner up. Has ran under 10:30 twice.

3. Danny Moss – Greene County Tech (10:15.46)
Did not run this at conference. Ran the best time in 5A the one time he ran it

4. Tyler Eddings – Hot Springs (10:43.07) (10:35.97) (10:38.33) (10:19.29) (10:33.68)
SW third place finisher. Has ran under 10:20 once and under 10:40 four times

5. Austin DeWitt – LR Christian (10:26.38) (10:34.77) (11:02.05)
SW fourth place finisher. Ran under 10:30 once and under 10:40 once.

6. Jon Freeman – Greene County Tech (10:41.70) (10:27.16)
Did not run at conference. Ran under 10:30 one time.

7. William Goodrich – LR Christian (10:37.03) (10:44.51) (10:21.54)
Did not run(finish?) at conference. Ran under 10:40 twice and 10:30 once.

8. Will Mauldin – Alma (11:36.45) (10:58.22) (10:56.38) (10:44.22) (10:41.70) (10:46.82) (11:03.01)
West third place finisher. Ran under 10:45 twice and under 10:50 three times. Had a huge blister on his foot at conference.

Points after 11 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 64
LR Christian – 63
Camden Fairview – 46
Magnolia – 45
Crossett – 29
Beebe – 29
Greene County Tech – 22
Alma – 22
Forrest City – 21
Siloam Springs – 17
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 13
Hot Springs – 10
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
Wynne – 3
Watson Chapel – 2

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High Jump

1. Damian Blossom – Siloam Springs (6' 4") (6' 4") (6' 3") (6' 6") (6' 0") (6' 8") (6' 2")
West champ. Has the highest jump in 5A and has gone over 6' 4" four times

2. Dayton Scott – Beebe (6' 2") (6' 3") (6' 0") (5' 10") (6' 6") (6' 6")
East champ. Has jumped over 6' 6" twice.

3. Sharbrodric Young – Magnolia (5' 10") (6' 4") (5' 10") (6' 1") (6' 6")
SW champ. Has jumped 6' 6" once.

4. Jerry Moorehead – Camden Fairview (6' 0") (6' 0") (5' 10") (6' 0") (6' 0")
SW runner (tie). Has jumped over 6' 0" four times

5. Cameron Hymes – Crossett (5' 6") (5' 8") (6' 2") (6' 0")
SE runner up. Has jumped over 6' 0" twice.

6. Dominique Reed – Camden Fairview (5' 10") (6' 0") (6' 0")
SW runner up (tie) Has jumped over 6' 0" twice.

7. Anfernee Coleman – Blytheville (5' 6") (6' 1")
East runner up. Has jumped over 6' 0" once.

8. Seth Peters – Greenbrier (6' 0") (5' 10") (5' 10") (5' 10")
West 3rd place finisher. Has jumped over 6' 0" once

Points after 12 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 64
LR Christian – 63
Camden Fairview – 54
Magnolia – 51
Beebe – 37
Crossett – 33
Siloam Springs – 27
Greene County Tech – 22
Alma – 22
Forrest City – 21
Mills Univ.Stud. – 16
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 14
Hot Springs – 10
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
Wynne – 3
Watson Chapel – 2
Blytheville - 2

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110 meter hurdles

1. James Sax – Vilonia (15.03) (14.90) (15.04) (15.66) (15.30) (15.00) (15.16) (14.91) (14.58)
West champ. Has ran under 15 three times.

2. Freddie Lamay – Magnolia (14.20) (15.42) (15.21) (15.15) (15.39) (15.96)
SW runner up. Didn't have his best run at conference, but will probably bounce back. The 14.20 was handtimed, but he has ran under 15.30 twice.

3. Houston Cotton – Vilonia (15.46) (15.19) (15.27) (15.56) (16.72) (17.07) (15.30) (15.25)
West runner up. Has ran under 15.30 twice. Could easily get 2nd behind Sax

4. Dominique Reed – Camden Fairview (17.30) (16.03) (15.78) (15.11)
SW champ. A great athlete who has started to figure out the hurdles. I was tempted to put him 2nd, because he obviously can finish 2nd. I just like consistency more than anything, though.

5. Hollen Barnes – Mills Univ.Stud. (16.94) (16.53) (16.53) (16.25) (15.87) (15.75) (15.77)
SE champ. Has ran under 16 his last three times. A lot of experience.

6. Cody Passen – Alma (17.04) (16.11) (16.28) (15.64) (15.96) (16.51) (16.36) (16.11)
West 3rd place finisher. Has ran under 16 twice. Will be close between him and Barnes.

7. Joseph Stewart – White Hall (16.08) (17.01)
SE third place finisher. A big wildcard. I'm not sure what to think about him. He has a lot of experience from year's past, but hasn't ran much this year for some reason

8. Trevail Rucker – Blytheville (16.46) (16.12)
East champ. Seems to be a low 16 type guy.

Points after 13 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 80
LR Christian – 63
Magnolia – 59
Camden Fairview – 59
Beebe – 37
Crossett – 33
Siloam Springs – 27
Alma – 25
Greene County Tech – 22
Forrest City – 21
Mills Univ.Stud. – 20
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 14
Hot Springs – 10
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
Wynne – 3
Blytheville - 3
Watson Chapel – 2
White Hall - 2

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4 x 800 meter relay 

1. Vilonia (9:07.57) (8:36.42) (8:29.58) (8:15.18) (8:59.63) (8:23.08)
West champ. Has ran under 8:30 three times and has the best time in 5A this year.

2. Beebe (9:22.77) (8:58.04) (9:02.10) (8:37.57) (8:32.43) (8:32.43) (8:59.64) (8:28.59) (8:23.47) (8:57.97)
East third place finishers. Didn't run their best team at conference. Has rand under 8:30 twice this year.

3. Alma (8:39.05) (8:43.73) (8:49.65) (9:14.94) (8:38.24) (8:32.69) (8:36.44) (8:35.21) (8:28.02)
West runner ups. Has ran under 8:30 once and under 8:40 six times.

4. Greene County Tech (9:00.22) (8:50.49) (8:36.26) (8:36.46) (8:33.87)
East champs. Has ran under 8:40 three times

5. LR Christian (8:40.31) (8:40.52) (8:36.10) (8:40.97)
SW champs. Has ran under 8:40 once.

6. Siloam Springs (9:24.49) (8:59.76) (8:56.78) (9:17.37) (8:45.58) (9:26.44) (8:47.00)
West 3rd place finishers. Has ran under 8:50 twice.

7. Forrest City (9:09.49) (9:17.59) (10:30.00) (8:53.26)
East runner ups. Has ran under 9:00 once.

8. Hot Springs (9:10.11) (9:11.51) (9:13.60) (9:02.49) (9:06.83) (8:58.88)
SW runner ups. Has ran under 9:00 once.

Points after 14 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 90
LR Christian – 67
Magnolia – 59
Camden Fairview – 59
Beebe – 45
Crossett – 33
Alma – 31
Siloam Springs – 30
Greene County Tech – 27
Forrest City – 23
Mills Univ.Stud. – 20
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 14
Hot Springs – 11
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
Wynne – 3
Blytheville - 3
Watson Chapel – 2
White Hall - 2

[sevenof400]

I really like the direction this is headed Almatrackster....

[AT]

300 meter hurdles

1. James Sax – Vilonia (39.97) (39.85) (39.34) (39.60) (40.38) (39.41)
West champ. Only hurdler to go under 40. He's done it five times.

2. Dominique Reed – Camden Fairview (41.00) (42.04) (40.44) (40.31)
SW champ. Has ran under 41 the past two times. Very good athlete.

3. Houston Cotton – Vilonia (41.69) (41.72) (41.55) (40.13) (41.56) (40.78)
West runner up. Has ran sub 41 twice. Could finish 2nd, will fatigue catch up with the stud sophomore?

4. Tim Pearson – Alma (42.41) (41.83) (42.15) (41.96) (40.92)
West 3rd place finisher. Ran sub 41 for the first time at conference. Doesn't have to run the 110 hurdles like all the other contenders

5. Tres Rowland – Alma (42.63) (41.53) (40.73) (41.50) (41.61) (41.69) (41.02)
West 4th place finisher. Has ran sub 41 once and sub 42 six times.

6. Freddie Lamay – Magnolia (41.50) (41.18) (41.43) (41.39) (43.55) (41.58)
SW 3rd place finisher. Has ran sub 42 five times. Could easily finish much higher.

7. Desmond Robinson – Magnolia (42.90) (42.55) (41.96) (42.67) (41.74) (41.57)
SW runner up. Has ran sub 42 three times. Another athlete who could easily finish much higher.

8. Corderious Morgan – Nettleton (44.88) (45.40) (44.28) (43.90) (41.98) (42.21) (41.22)
East champ. Has ran sub 42 twice.

Points after 15 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 106
LR Christian – 67
Camden Fairview – 67
Magnolia – 64
Beebe – 45
Alma – 40
Crossett – 33
Siloam Springs – 30
Greene County Tech – 27
Forrest City – 23
Mills Univ.Stud. – 20
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 14
Hot Springs – 11
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
Wynne – 3
Blytheville - 3
Watson Chapel – 2
White Hall - 2
Nettleton - 1

[AT]

4 x 100 meter relay

1. Mills Univ.Stud. (42.51) (42.19) (41.91) (42.22) (42.68) (42.04) (41.85)
SE Champs. Ran under 42 twice. Will be the big favorites. They are blazing fast.

2. Camden Fairview (42.30) (42.75) (45.59) (43.74) (42.48) (46.85)
Dropped the baton at conference. Have ran sub 43 three times.

3. Magnolia (42.80) (42.93) (43.42) (43.19) (43.22) (42.82)
SW champs. Have run sub 43 four times. Could beat CF, but have lost to them every time they've gone head to head

4. Crossett (44.43) (43.06)
SE champs. Only ran it twice, but have Orlando Robinson on their team.

5. Forrest City (43.27)
East champs. Only ran it once (on directathletics). Have two great sprinters on their team

6. Hope (44.46) (44.24) (44.30) (43.65) (43.96)
SW runner ups. Have been consistenly in the low 44s/high 43s.

7. White Hall (45.20) (46.61) (44.70)
SE runner ups. Have ran sub 45 once.

8. Greenwood (45.99) (45.70) (47.29) (47.01) (44.96) (46.55) (44.87)
West champs. Have ran sub 45 twice.

Points after 16 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 106
Camden Fairview – 75
Magnolia – 70
LR Christian – 67
Beebe – 45
Alma – 40
Crossett – 38
Siloam Springs – 30
Mills Univ.Stud. – 30
Greene County Tech – 27
Forrest City – 27
Lakeside, HS – 16
Greenbrier – 14
Hot Springs – 11
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
White Hall - 4
Wynne – 3
Blytheville - 3
Hope - 3
Watson Chapel – 2
Nettleton - 1
Greenwood - 1

[InYoGrill]

I really like the direction this is headed Almatrackster....

I second that motion 7, Go Eagles bring the hardware to town.

[AT]

4 x 400 meter relay

1. Alma (3:30.83) (3:35.16) (3:27.89) (3:25.54) (3:24.43) (3:31.58) (3:35.12) (3:27.02)
West champs. Best time in 5A and ran under 3:30 four times.

2. Magnolia (3:40.60) (3:36.07) (3:37.47) (3:33.51) (3:30.35) (3:29.67)
SW champs. I have them ahead of Vilonia because Magnolia always steps up in this event at state. Ran under 3:30 once.

3. Vilonia (3:32.07) (3:34.20) (3:32.18) (3:33.24) (3:27.91) (3:34.52)
West runner ups. Could easily finish 2nd or maybe 1st if Alma has ab ad day. Ran under 3:30 once

4. Hot Springs (3:36.38) (3:34.77) (3:35.70) (3:36.69) (3:31.60)
SW runner ups. The most consistent team outside the top 3. Low 3:30s consistently

5. Forrest City (3:32.81)
East runner ups. I have them ahead of Beebe, because their guys don't have to run distance events like Beebe's 4 x 4 team.

6. Beebe (3:43.00) (3:44.32) (3:43.08) (3:40.41) (3:52.43) (3:41.28) (3:32.68)
East champs. I would put them higher, but at conference, their 4 x 4 team didn't run the events they will at state.

7. Mills Univ.Stud. (3:40.89) (3:34.45) (3:37.78) (3:36.30) (3:35.66)
SE champs. Have ran mid 3:30s consistently

8. Greenwood (3:43.76) (3:41.67) (3:44.35) (3:40.36) (3:35.08) (3:36.18)
West 3rd place finishers. Have shown they are a mid 3:30 team the past two times out.

Points after 17 of 17 events projected:
Vilonia – 112
Magnolia – 78
Camden Fairview – 75
LR Christian – 67
Alma – 50
Beebe – 48
Crossett – 38
Mills Univ.Stud. – 32
Forrest City – 31
Siloam Springs – 30
Greene County Tech – 27
Lakeside, HS – 16
Hot Springs – 16
Greenbrier – 14
Batesville - 6
Morrilton – 5
White Hall - 4
Wynne – 3
Blytheville - 3
Hope - 3
Watson Chapel – 2
Greenwood - 2
Nettleton - 1

[sevenof400]

I really like the direction this is headed Almatrackster....

I second that motion 7, Go Eagles bring the hardware to town.

What a sense of closure a state title would make for a team that was literally picking itself up (and out) from the path of a tornado one year ago.  And even after all that, missing a title by 5 points....  Go get 'em Eagles. 

[AT]

This isn't to brag or toot my own horn. I'm just doing this for myself and to show how relevant projections can be.

My projections vs actual score

My projections - Actual finish

1. Vilonia 112 - 1. Vilonia 118
2. Magnolia 78 - 3. Magnolia 65
3. Camden Fairview 75 - 2. Camden Fairview 75
4. LR Christian 67- 4. LR Christian 62
5. Alma 50 - 6. Alma 47
6. Beebe 48 - 5. Beebe 50
7. Crossett 38 - 13. Crossett 14
8. Mills Univ.Stud. 32 - 7. Mills Univ.Stud. 37
9. Forrest City 31 - 10. Forrest City 29
10. Siloam Springs 30 - 8. Siloam Springs 34
11. Greene County Tech 27- 9. Greene County Tech 32
12. Lakeside, HS 16 - 12. Lakeside, HS 17
12. Hot Springs 16 - 11. Hot Springs 21
14. Greenbrier 14 - 15. Greenbrier 10
15. Batesville 6 - 17. Batesville 6
16. Morrilton 5 - 16. Morrilton 7
17. White Hall 4 - Didn't score
18. Wynne 3 - 22. Wynne 2
18. Blytheville 3 - 13. Blytheville 14
18. Hope 3 - 19. Hope 5
21. Watson Chapel 2 - 22. Watson Chapel 2
21. Greenwood 2 - 20. Greenwood 4
23. Nettleton 1 - 21. Nettleton 3

Monticello and Paragould finished 17th and 22nd respectively. I didn't have them projected to score.

Number of places predicted exactly: 4
Number of places predicted within 1 place: 15

Number of scores predicted exactly: 3
Number of scores predicted within 5 points: 19

Team that scored the most above their projected score: Blytheville (+11)
Team that scored the most below their projected score: Crossett (-24)

[MHSGrad]

Hahaha u da man AT.. Changing the world one statistical prediction at a time