Championship Odds

[SUGARTOWN]

I will update these weekly, although they might not change much until round 3. These obviously are just my opinions...no wagering. 

Nashville 3-1 - They should have a cakewalk to the final

Prairie Grove 5-1 - Bye and home field a plus, tough potential semi-final matchup

Robinson 6-1 - Tough draw, on the road after round 1

Warren  7-1 - Not a favorable draw, but home field until semis is big

Dardanelle  25-1 - Nice draw into the weakest quadrant

Ashdown  30-1 - More skill players than most, with decent line play could be a tough out

Pea Ridge  30-1 - Might could win a few games if not matched up with Nashville in round 2

Heber Springs  35-1  Bye and home field in weak quadrant is nice, could make semis

Field  40-1  Anyone else making it to the finals would be quite the story

[FootBallar21]

I wouldn't even put odds for Heber Springs,  and at 3-1 I would be all over that Nashville action, and I hate Nashville lol.   they should be 3-2 favorites to win it as they are almost guaranteed a shot in the finals and then will be the favorite in that game.   

Next PG should be the clear cut #2 choice because they will only have one really hard game before Little Rock, playing the winner of the Warren - Robinson game.   

Updated Odds

Nashville 3-2
PG 4-1
Robinson 6-1
Warren 7-1
Ashdown 15-1
Dardanelle 25-1
Pea Ridge 30 -1
Field 40-1

[SUGARTOWN]

I wouldn't even put odds for Heber Springs,  and at 3-1 I would be all over that Nashville action, and I hate Nashville lol.   they should be 3-2 favorites to win it as they are almost guaranteed a shot in the finals and then will be the favorite in that game.   

Next PG should be the clear cut #2 choice because they will only have one really hard game before Little Rock, playing the winner of the Warren - Robinson game.   

Updated Odds

Nashville 3-2
PG 4-1
Robinson 6-1
Warren 7-1
Ashdown 15-1
Dardanelle 25-1
Pea Ridge 30 -1
Field 40-1

The odds will change as we move on. Injuries can change things in a hurry for any team, even Nashville.

[FootBallar21]

Right but as we stand today they should be a much bigger favorite,  if you like it at 3-1 care to take a $100 bet?

[SUGARTOWN]

Right but as we stand today they should be a much bigger favorite,  if you like it at 3-1 care to take a $100 bet?

No wagering. 

And perhaps you should check out this thread from last year, everyone though Dardanelle's odds should've been lower...how'd that work out?

http://www.fearlessfriday.com/yabbse/index.php?topic=144779.msg3259590#msg3259590

[FootBallar21]

with your odds I would bet $500 and be almost certain to make money or worse case break even. 

Bet $200 on Nashville 3-1 Pays $600 if they win which would be $100 profit
Bet $100 on PG pays 5-1 I would break even and get $500 back
Bet $100 on Robinson pays 6-1 I would get $600 and make $100 total
Bet $100 on Warren pays 7-1,  so I would get $700 if they won for a $200 Profit. 

Now to really make this profitable for Me I could simple add a zero and bet $5,000 instead of $500 for a really good chance to win 1 or 2 thousand! 

[Jimbo Morphis]

with your odds I would bet $500 and be almost certain to make money or worse case break even. 

Bet $200 on Nashville 3-1 Pays $600 if they win which would be $100 profit
Bet $100 on PG pays 5-1 I would break even and get $500 back
Bet $100 on Robinson pays 6-1 I would get $600 and make $100 total
Bet $100 on Warren pays 7-1,  so I would get $700 if they won for a $200 Profit. 

Now to really make this profitable for Me I could simple add a zero and bet $5,000 instead of $500 for a really good chance to win 1 or 2 thousand! 

Big beautiful casinos are built for people who think like you.

[FootBallar21]

Big beautiful casinos are built for people who think like you.

Thats my point these aren't casino odds clearly lol . And I do fine at the casino, only playing poker though. 

[SUGARTOWN]

Never said they were "casino odds". Just something to do because I was bored.

And I think the lowest ANYBODY should be at this point with 4 or 5 games yet to play is 2-1.

[FootBallar21]

Never said they were "casino odds". Just something to do because I was bored.

And I think the lowest ANYBODY should be at this point with 4 or 5 games yet to play is 2-1.

I think Nashville has about a 95% chance of winning the first 4 games and making it to Little Rock.   

[polksalet]

1. Nashville 50%
2a. P Rob 25%
2b. Warren 25%

All others are irrelevant.

[AirWarren]

Big beautiful casinos are built for people who think like you.

He also banked on Mena beating Warren in 2014 for a state title.


We see how his odds worked out.

[WPWells]

1. Nashville 50%
2a. P Rob 25%
2b. Warren 25%

All others are irrelevant.

I'll take your assumption that Prairie Grove has no chance.

[SUGARTOWN]

I'll take your assumption that Prairie Grove has no chance.

Yeah, because they've never beaten Nashville. Oh wait...

[FootBallar21]

He also banked on Mena beating Warren in 2014 for a state title.


We see how his odds worked out.

Didn't bank on it at all.   

[polksalet]

I'll take your assumption that Prairie Grove has no chance.

It's not an assumption.

[AirItOut21]

I don't get the PG hype this year. Who have they played? Everyone is about to find out just how good Pea Ridge and Shiloh really are this week. With all that PG lost last year there is no way they are as good or better this season. This is just my opinion and we will see how it plays out

[Redskin2015]

Ozark jv wins it all 😂😂

[polksalet]

I don't get the PG hype this year. Who have they played? Everyone is about to find out just how good Pea Ridge and Shiloh really are this week. With all that PG lost last year there is no way they are as good or better this season. This is just my opinion and we will see how it plays out

Exactly. Pg got destroyed in title game. Ville, pg, and warren all stand between them and title. And those three, are salty.

[SUGARTOWN]

Exactly. Pg got destroyed in title game.

Wasn't PG leading at halftime?

[bilboswaggins]

I don't get the PG hype this year. Who have they played? Everyone is about to find out just how good Pea Ridge and Shiloh really are this week. With all that PG lost last year there is no way they are as good or better this season. This is just my opinion and we will see how it plays out

Defense is a lot better this year.

[richboy]

Exactly. Pg got destroyed in title game. Ville, pg, and warren all stand between them and title. And those three, are salty.

Pea ridge and pg both got destroyed by Nashville 😅

[beach bum]

I am going to go way out on a limb and say the odds are that only one team will win the 4A championship....

[beach bum]

I don't get the PG hype this year. Who have they played? Everyone is about to find out just how good Pea Ridge and Shiloh really are this week. With all that PG lost last year there is no way they are as good or better this season. This is just my opinion and we will see how it plays out

This is coming from someone whos team has only won 32 games since 2012 compared to 52 for Prairie Grove. We average winning 4 more games per year than you. You will get spanked 42-14 in a week from today....

[beach bum]

I don't get the PG hype this year. Who have they played? Everyone is about to find out just how good Pea Ridge and Shiloh really are this week. With all that PG lost last year there is no way they are as good or better this season. This is just my opinion and we will see how it plays out

I take that back.... You can't even get out of the first round!

[AirItOut21]

I take that back.... You can't even get out of the first round!

Lol who is my team?

[SUGARTOWN]

Well, it looks like Nashville's odds shouldn't have beeen lower like some were saying. New odds coming tomorrow, Prairie Grove with home field is now in the drivers seat.

[PGTIGERS09]

It should be PGs to lose but that's not how it works, we have to play the games.  That being said I believe the semis will be Shiloh,  DA Ridge,  Prairie Grove and Warren.  That will set up PG and Warren for a real slugfest.  Should be fun to watch.

[SUGARTOWN]

Prairie Grove 4-1 - Home field but still a key semi game coming up vs Warren or Joe T.

Pea Ridge 5-1 - Clear path to the final now with huge upset Friday night

Robinson 6-1 - 2 tough games looming before WMS

Warren 7-1 -  See above

Shiloh 15-1 - Rematch with P. Ridge on the horizon?

Dardanelle 15-1 - Playing well, winable game this Friday

Hamburg 25-1 - LONG road trip this week, basketballs may come out Saturday

Gosnell 35-1 - Extremely tough draw, long trip into hostile territory this week

[PGTIGERS09]

It should be PGs to lose but that's not how it works, we have to play the games.  That being said I believe the semis will be Shiloh,  DA Ridge,  Prairie Grove and Warren.  That will set up PG and Warren for a real slugfest.  Should be fun to watch.

Hmmmmm. Wow  Who knew

[beach bum]

PG vs . Warren is going to be epic. I am glad it is going to be up in NWA for PG's chances a little better....

[WPWells]

It's not an assumption.

Hahahahahahaha

[$aintMaximu$]

Hmmmmm. Wow  Who knew

Good call!!!!

[FootBallar21]

My bets off of his original odds still look fine

[AirWarren]

Big beautiful casinos are built for people who think like you.

Being a broke joke also comes to mind.

[polksalet]

1. Warren

[Brian G]

I don't get the PG hype this year. Who have they played? Everyone is about to find out just how good Pea Ridge and Shiloh really are this week. With all that PG lost last year there is no way they are as good or better this season. This is just my opinion and we will see how it plays out

oops

[AirItOut21]

oops

Edit: PR has been impressive. PG and Shiloh still haven't played anyone worth talking about.

[prHOG13]

Edit: PR has been impressive. PG and Shiloh still haven't played anyone worth talking about.

PG and Shiloh have both played PR, who I think is worth talking about... Considering all 3 are in the Semi's.... Keep digging those heels in

[AirItOut21]

PG and Shiloh have both played PR, who I think is worth talking about... Considering all 3 are in the Semi's.... Keep digging those heels in

Too bad none of them will win a state championship

[prHOG13]

Too bad none of them will win a state championship

You've been spot on with your predictions so far

Keep digging

[dukes424]

1. Warren

0. Nashville 

[Brian G]

Too bad none of them will win a state championship

One thing I know, I can guarantee their chances are better than some previously mentioned teams.

[dukes424]

1. Nashville 50%
2a. P Rob 25%
2b. Warren 25%

All others are irrelevant.

Bahahaha My guess is you aren't a very good gambler. 

[SUGARTOWN]

UPDATED for semi-finals:

Prairie Grove 2-1 Unchallenged so far in playoffs, much tougher opponent this week. Home field gives them a slight advantage.

Warren 3-1 Tough games the last two weeks at home, now a tough road test. This game can go either way, the winner here is clear favorite in final.

Pea Ridge 4-1 Home game against a team they've already beat. This will be a tough test, SC is playing very well.

Shiloh 6-1 Hot team right now, but they've lost to 2 of the 3 teams left. This game is also a toss up.

[JoshuaRug13]

UPDATED for semi-finals:

Prairie Grove 2-1 Unchallenged so far in playoffs, much tougher opponent this week. Home field gives them a slight advantage.

Warren 3-1 Tough games the last two weeks at home, now a tough road test. This game can go either way, the winner here is clear favorite in final.

Pea Ridge 4-1 Home game against a team they've already beat. This will be a tough test, SC is playing very well.

Shiloh 6-1 Hot team right now, but they've lost to 2 of the 3 teams left. This game is also a toss up.

So is PR btw.  We are probably hotter than Shiloh to be quite honest.  Tougher games, and more competition played then Shiloh.  All equals PR being the hotter team...

[$aintMaximu$]

So is PR btw.  We are probably hotter than Shiloh to be quite honest.  Tougher games, and more competition played then Shiloh.  All equals PR being the hotter team...

In the Nashville game yes... But Shiloh mercy ruled Crossett, a team in Hamburg's conference that Hamburg had to go into OT to beat...

[SUGARTOWN]

So is PR btw.  We are probably hotter than Shiloh to be quite honest.  Tougher games, and more competition played then Shiloh.  All equals PR being the hotter team...

PR had to come from behind to beat a 5 seed at home. Shiloh has mercy ruled 3 teams, including two #1 seeds.

[prHOG13]

PR had to come from behind to beat a 5 seed at home. Shiloh has mercy ruled 3 teams, including two #1 seeds.

Pea Ridge beat the so called #1 team in the state on the road by 25. These things go both ways.

A win is a win in the playoffs. Both teams are playing well

[$aintMaximu$]

Pea Ridge beat the so called #1 team in the state on the road by 25. These things go both ways.

A win is a win in the playoffs. Both teams are playing well

I think more than anything the matchups have favored Shiloh... The Pea Ridge matchup is far less favorable for Shiloh...