Playoff Picture/Projections After Week 7

[NWA Hawg]

This is were we sit playoff wise after week 6. AAA rules were used for conference tiebreakers. Calpreps was used for predictions on scores. A few changes including a new state champion in Arkadelphia.

W7 Robinson
Bye

3rd4 Ozark 31
4th2 Heber Springs 28

W3 Gosnell 21
5th7 Bauxite 17

3rd1 Shiloh 28
3rd2 West Helena 21

W8 Warren 44
5th3 Highland 7

2nd4 Dardanelle 38
5th8 Crossett 6

2nd1 Prairie Grove 38
4th4 Pottsville 14

2nd2 Stuttgrat 27
4th1 Gravette 19

W4 Booneville
Bye

3rd7 Arkadelphia 41
4th8 Monticello 7

W1 Pea Ridge 42
5th4 Dover 13

3rd3 Pocahontas 34
3rd8 Hamburg 35

W2 Southside Batesville 42
5th1 Gentry 13

2nd7 Ashdown 34
5th2 Riverview 19

2nd3 Trumann 28
4th7 Nashville 42

2nd8 Dumas 28
4th3 Jonesboro Westside 21

2nd Round

Robinson 41
Ozark 13

Gosnell 17
Shiloh 26

Warren 34
Dardanelle 20

Prairie Grove 26
Stuttgrat 19

Booneville 13
Arkadelphia 28

Pea Ridge 42
Hamburg 19

Southside Batesville 14
Ashdown 27

Dumas 26
Nashville 46

Qrt Finals

Robinson 27
Shiloh 14

Warren 28
Prairie Grove 21

Pea Ridge 21
Arkadelphia 35

Ashdown 38
Nashville 28

Semis

Robinson 26
Warren 19

Ashdown 21
Arkadelphia 24

Da Ship

Robinson 20
Arkadelphia 21

[Lizard47]

Not

[NWA Hawg]

Not

You don't think so huh?

[Lizard47]

I'm sure its correct within the confines of the methods at your disposal. But it won't happen this way.

[NWA Hawg]

I'm sure its correct within the confines of the methods at your disposal. But it won't happen this way.

I sure it won't but I could defiantly see a Robinson/Arkadelphia rematch in the finals.

[Lizard47]

That is a good possibility. But the 4 and 7 aren't done beating each other up yet. And that may not matter in the final but it will change how it gets there.

[FootBallar21]

Arkadelphia will be 2nd in 7-4A ,  good call picking them to win it all though,  I think they just might.

[noonerricky]

How in the world do you have Arkadelphia as the 3 seed. No way they finish 3rd.

[NWA Hawg]

How in the world do you have Arkadelphia as the 3 seed. No way they finish 3rd.

It's not where they finish, it's where they currently sit and right now they currently sit in 3rd place. That will change after next week.

[Lizard47]

How do you decide where Booneville and Dardy sit? Head to head is yet to be and tiebreaker points are even. There is a considerable points for margin in dardy's favor and a 2 point margin in points against in boonevilles favor. Also the two common opponents already played were beaten by one more score each in dardy's favor. Don't tell me its just because calpreps thinks Bonneville will win the upcoming head to head cause that's weak.

[OLDSCHOOL82]

Lizard, total pts don't matter.  13 is all ya get to use.  Will know next week so Unwad them panties of yours.

[Lizard47]

Lizard, total pts don't matter.  13 is all ya get to use.  Will know next week so Unwad them panties of yours.

We will know next week and not a moment sooner. Until then we are in a dead even tie. It is going to be a heck of a game for sure. Keep your panty dreams to yourself, I've never worn a pair.

[Nacho]

It's not where they finish, it's where they currently sit and right now they currently sit in 3rd place. That will change after next week.

How are they third when they've beaten Nashville and haven't played Ashdown yet? Is it scores? Seriously asking, not being sarcastic.

[SUGARTOWN]

How are they third when they've beaten Nashville and haven't played Ashdown yet? Is it scores? Seriously asking, not being sarcastic.

I assume he's using tie-breaker points where Ashdown has more. BUT, tiebreaker points aren't used unless there's a 3 way tie (which there isn't here). Just another reason why mid-season projections don't mean anything, you can't accurately break ties when everyone in conference hasn't played each other.

[Nacho]

Okay thanks for the reply. This game will be big...aren't they all though...

[3 Dollar]

This is were we sit playoff wise after week 6. AAA rules were used for conference tiebreakers. Calpreps was used for predictions on scores. A few changes including a new state champion in Arkadelphia.

W7 Robinson
Bye

3rd4 Ozark 31
4th2 Heber Springs 28

W3 Gosnell 21
5th7 Bauxite 17

3rd1 Shiloh 28
3rd2 West Helena 21

W8 Warren 44
5th3 Highland 7

2nd4 Dardanelle 38
5th8 Crossett 6

2nd1 Prairie Grove 38
4th4 Pottsville 14

2nd2 Stuttgrat 27
4th1 Gravette 19

W4 Booneville
Bye

3rd7 Arkadelphia 41
4th8 Monticello 7

W1 Pea Ridge 42
5th4 Dover 13

3rd3 Pocahontas 34
3rd8 Hamburg 35

W2 Southside Batesville 42
5th1 Gentry 13

2nd7 Ashdown 34
5th2 Riverview 19

2nd3 Trumann 28
4th7 Nashville 42

2nd8 Dumas 28
4th3 Jonesboro Westside 21

2nd Round

Robinson 41
Ozark 13

Gosnell 17
Shiloh 26

Warren 34
Dardanelle 20

Prairie Grove 26
Stuttgrat 19

Booneville 13
Arkadelphia 28

Pea Ridge 42
Hamburg 19

Southside Batesville 14
Ashdown 27

Dumas 26
Nashville 46

Qrt Finals

Robinson 27
Shiloh 14

Warren 28
Prairie Grove 21

Pea Ridge 21
Arkadelphia 35

Ashdown 38
Nashville 28

Semis

Robinson 26
Warren 19

Ashdown 21
Arkadelphia 24

Da Ship

Robinson 20
Arkadelphia 21

I'll have to disagree with ya!

W7 Robinson
Bye

3rd 4 Ozark-27
4th 2 Helena-West Helena-28

W3 Gosnell-34
5th 7 Malvern-21

3rd 1 Shiloh Christian-49
3rd 2 Riverview-7

W8 Warren-48
5th 3 Highland-12

2nd 4 Dardanelle-45
5th 8 Star City-7

2nd 1 Prairie Grove-42
4th 4 Pottsville-8

2nd 2 Batesville SS-27
4th 1 Gravette-28

W4 Booneville
Bye

3rd 7 Nashville-47
4th 8 Monticello-15

W1 Pea Ridge-46
5th 4 Dover-0

3rd 3 Jonesboro Westside-14
3rd 8 Hamburg-27

W2 Stuttgart-28
5th 1 Lincoln-14

2nd 7 Arkadelphia-56
5th 2 Heber Springs-6

2nd 3 Trumann-14
4th 7 Ashdown-49

2nd 8 Dumas-32
4th 3 Pocahontas-20

Round 2

W7 Robinson-49
4th 2 Helena-6

W3 Gosnell-12
3rd 3 Shiloh-35

W8 Warren-36
2nd 4 Dardanelle-24

2nd 1 Prairie Grove-47
2nd 2 Gravette-14

W4 Booneville-28
3rd 7 Nashville-27

W1 Pea Ridge-48
3rd 8 Hamburg-16

W2 Stuttgart-7
2nd 7 Arkadelphia-35

4th 7 Ashdown-37
2nd 8 Dumas-21

1/4 Finals

W7 Robinson-55
3rd 1 Shiloh-42

W8 Warren-25
2nd 1 Prairie Grove-22

W4 Booneville-21
W1 Pea Ridge-22

2nd 7 Arkadelphia-33
4th 7 Ashdown-28

Semi-Finals

W7 Robinson-35
W8 Warren-31

W1 Pea Ridge-28
2nd 7 Arkadelphia-27

FINALS

W7 Robinson-34
W1 Pea Ridge-30

[Lizard47]

I'll have to disagree with ya!

W7 Robinson
Bye

3rd 4 Ozark-27
4th 2 Helena-West Helena-28

W3 Gosnell-34
5th 7 Malvern-21

3rd 1 Shiloh Christian-49
3rd 2 Riverview-7

W8 Warren-48
5th 3 Highland-12

2nd 4 Booneville-35
5th 8 Star City-13

2nd 1 Prairie Grove-42
4th 4 Pottsville-8

2nd 2 Stuttgart-29
4th 1 Gravette-28

W4 Dardanelle
Bye

3rd 7 Nashville-47
4th 8 Monticello-15

W1 Pea Ridge-46
5th 4 Dover-0

3rd 3 Jonesboro Westside-14
3rd 8 Hamburg-27

W2 Batesville Southside-15
5th 1 Lincoln-14

2nd 7 Arkadelphia-56
5th 2 Heber Springs-6

2nd 3 Trumann-14
4th 7 Ashdown-49

2nd 8 Dumas-32
4th 3 Pocahontas-20

Round 2

W7 Robinson-49
4th 2 Helena-6

W3 Gosnell-12
3rd 3 Shiloh-35

W8 Warren-36
2nd 4 Booneville-34

2nd 1 Prairie Grove-40
2nd 2 Stuttgart-9

W4 Dardanelle-24
3rd 7 Nashville-21

W1 Pea Ridge-48
3rd 8 Hamburg-16

W2 Batesville Southside-7
2nd 7 Arkadelphia-42

4th 7 Ashdown-37
2nd 8 Dumas-21

1/4 Finals

W7 Robinson-55
3rd 1 Shiloh-42

W8 Warren-25
2nd 1 Prairie Grove-22

W4 Dardanelle-24
W1 Pea Ridge-35

2nd 7 Arkadelphia-33
4th 7 Ashdown-28

Semi-Finals

W7 Robinson-35
W8 Warren-31

W1 Pea Ridge-28
2nd 7 Arkadelphia-27

FINALS

W7 Robinson-34
W1 Pea Ridge-30

3 Dollar, I think you have something there. This may actually be pretty close to the truth. Time will tell and there have been some shake ups this year and some to come maybe. But still, highly probable.

[Diesel]

The ol Gizzards have to beat 2 really good team to take the top spot.   I would put them in the 3rd slot.  They are pretty good beating up on the little teams and scoring a bunch of points.  The Bearcats could put a lot of points on them as well but choose to have more class and play their 2nd and 3rd string kids.  Wish I could be at the game Friday night.

[Lizard47]

The ol Gizzards have to beat 2 really good team to take the top spot.   I would put them in the 3rd slot.  They are pretty good beating up on the little teams and scoring a bunch of points.  The Bearcats could put a lot of points on them as well but choose to have more class and play their 2nd and 3rd string kids.  Wish I could be at the game Friday night.

You have no idea what you're talking about.

[noonerricky]

3 Dollar, I think you have something there. This may actually be pretty close to the truth. Time will tell and there have been some shake ups this year and some to come maybe. But still, highly probable.

Malvern will not get the 5 seed. They have to win 3 games and there are only 2 that are winnable. 2 won't be enough to get in.

[Rugman15]

I like Pea Ridge's chances more after getting the win over PG.  Assuming we win out and get that #1 seed, I like our chances more than if we were on the other side of the bracket.

[RyanLR]

If Arkadelphia and Robinson play again it won't be close. Robinson statistically dominated the game 367-95 total yards. Without those 5 turnovers the Badgers wouldn't have scored a point. You can say Zion Hatley wasn't playing but Senators were in the backfield on every snap.

[BP74]

If Arkadelphia and Robinson play again it won't be close. Robinson statistically dominated the game 367-95 total yards. Without those 5 turnovers the Badgers wouldn't have scored a point. You can say Zion Hatley wasn't playing but Senators were in the backfield on every snap.

I'd say Hatley makes a big difference. Take Warren out of your team and see if you win that game. In 1st quarter when Robinson was trying to run their "traditional offense", they had negative yardage.
I hope Badgers play them again, it was a great game.

[Goose0]

If Arkadelphia and Robinson play again it won't be close. Robinson statistically dominated the game 367-95 total yards. Without those 5 turnovers the Badgers wouldn't have scored a point. You can say Zion Hatley wasn't playing but Senators were in the backfield on every snap.

Correct you are on that but key in on this little fact of the game.  The Senator defense only had to account for 1 (Turner) threat in the backfield instead of 2 (Turner, Hatley) threats,it is very easy to key in on 1 threat rather than 2.  You stop Turner you win and they did, which is a part of the game.  But also 5 turnovers are a part of the game and I'm pretty sure the Badgers had 2 to 3.  Especially the last drive, if that turnover does not happen there is a possibility that the Badgers win.  Honestly I think it will be another battle like before, the outcome could be the same of different who knows. 

[Oldbadger]

The Arkadelphia/Robinson game was a tough, hard fought contest.  Robinson rolled up big yardage as a result of running Warren on almost every play.  I don't remember the time of possession but I would hazard a guess that Robinson had the ball most of the time, thereby giving them more chances for yards and to score.  Had Hatley been in and they were able to establish their typical offense, Robinson would not have had the ball as long, therefore, not having as many chances for yardage and scores.  Plus, the Badgers would, most likely, have scored a time or two.  Changes the whole game.  Take Hatley out, and take Warren out:  see how the game goes.  I look forward to a rematch.  I think the Badgers win the next one.

[3 Dollar]

Malvern will not get the 5 seed. They have to win 3 games and there are only 2 that are winnable. 2 won't be enough to get in.

I've got them winning just 1 of the remaining 3 and ending up in a three way tie with Bauxite and Fountain Lake with more tie-breaker points than either of them.  However, that means that there 1 win will have to be by 8 or more points and Fountain Lake's win over Mena by 8 or less.

So who do you think it will be?  Whoever it is, they will enter the playoffs with more than likely a 2-5 conference record.  Fountain Lake could make it in with a 3-4 record by winning tonight and next week against Mena.

[SUGARTOWN]

I've got them winning just 1 of the remaining 3 and ending up in a three way tie with Bauxite and Fountain Lake with more tie-breaker points than either of them.  However, that means that there 1 win will have to be by 8 or more points and Fountain Lake's win over Mena by 8 or less.

So who do you think it will be?  Whoever it is, they will enter the playoffs with more than likely a 2-5 conference record.  Fountain Lake could make it in with a 3-4 record by winning tonight and next week against Mena.

If it's a 3 way tie and FL has the fewest tie breaker points then Bauxite would go since they beat Malvern.

[FBfan79]

Couldn't FL make it with just 2 conf wins?

If Bauxite loses out they have 2 wins

If FL wins tonight, they have 2 wins with a win over Bauxite

If Malvern loses tonight, then loses one to either Nash or Ark, they have 2 wins but the loss to FL

Mena hasn't won a conf game with Nash, FL, and Robinson left.  If they beat FL and lose the others they only have 1.

FL ties Bauxite and Malvern with 2, but has wins over both so points are not a factor.  All of this being said, there's still a lot of football left.

[SUGARTOWN]

^^^^ That sounds correct, of course FL must win tonight.

[Mr. Mercer]

I believe three way tie goes to points to kick one out. Two with highest points then look head to head

[SUGARTOWN]

I believe three way tie goes to points to kick one out. Two with highest points then look head to head

Only if it's a "perfect triangle" 3 way tie that can't be separated by head to head. If one team has beaten the other 2, tie breaker points don't factor in.